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Mortgage Rates Unexpectedly Fall

[if IE]> <link rel="stylesheet" href="/Themes/MND/style/ie.css" type="text/css" media="screen,print" /> <![endif][if lt IE 7]> <link rel="stylesheet" href="/Themes/MND/style/ie6.css" type="text/css" media="screen,print" /> <![endif][if lt IE 9]> <![endif]Mortgage Rates Unexpectedly Fall to 2017 Lows (Again)


Mortgage rates unexpectedly fell to new 7-month lows today, following bond market gains in the overnight hours (Asian and European trading sessions). Interest rates are driven by bond markets. The latter is part of an ecosystem of "risk" associated with the entire financial market. At times, most of that broader market will collectively move toward or away from risk. When investors are shedding risk, bonds (and thus, mortgage rates) tend to benefit. Adding to the bigger-picture move was a headline regarding China's intention to buy more US bonds. Higher demand for bonds results in higher prices (which move inversely from rates).

The average lender is now quoting conventional 30yr fixed rates in the high 3% range on top tier scenarios. The range is fairly wide between lenders as some were better positioned for these market movements than others. That means the same scenario could see a rate as low as 3.75% at one lender and 4.125% at another with the same closing costs.

It continues to be the case that Thursday's events have the biggest potential to push rates higher or lower. Some of these will be released in the morning hours and will have already had an effect on rates before any lenders publish rate sheets for the day. The bigger potential shock is the unknown outcome of Comey's congressional testimony. It might not hit markets during business hours, and it might not hit markets at all. But there's a chance that it could cause a very big movement for better or worse.

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